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Chaos, Solitons & Fractals

○ Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 90 days, ranked by how well they match Chaos, Solitons & Fractals's content profile, based on 32 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.03% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

1
Treatment-Structured Modeling of Tuberculosis Transmission with Threshold Dynamics, Stability Analysis and Implications for Disease Control

Nayeem, J.; Salek, M. A.; Biswas, M. H. A.; Kabir, M. H.

2026-07-30 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.07.28.26359108 medRxiv
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Background: Tuberculosis remains a persistent infectious disease whose control is complicated by latent infection, delayed treatment, incomplete recovery, reinfection, and continuing transmission from infectious individuals. Although treatment is central to tuberculosis management, it is frequently represented only as a transition parameter in mathematical models rather than as a separate epidemiological state. In this study, treatment was therefore incorporated explicitly as an independent compartment so that its influence on transmission, recovery, disease-induced mortality, and long-term disease persistence could be evaluated. Methods: A deterministic nonlinear compartmental model was formulated by dividing the total population into susceptible, exposed, actively infected, treated, and recovered classes. Reinfection of recovered individuals, progression from latent infection to active disease, movement of infectious individuals into treatment, treatment-associated recovery, natural mortality, and disease-induced mortality were included. Positivity and boundedness of the solutions were examined to establish biological validity. The basic reproduction number, R0, was derived through the next-generation matrix approach. Disease-free and endemic equilibria were determined, and their local and conditional global stability properties were investigated using Jacobian analysis, the Routh-Hurwitz criterion, center manifold theory, Lyapunov functions, and LaSalles invariance principle. Normalized sensitivity indices, Latin hypercube sampling, partial rank correlation coefficients, and numerical simulations were also applied. Results: The disease-free equilibrium was shown to be locally asymptotically stable when ,R0<1 whereas sustained transmission and a unique endemic equilibrium were associated with R0>1. Under the stated reduced-model assumptions, stability of the endemic equilibrium was established. Transmission-related parameters were identified as the strongest positive contributors to disease persistence. In contrast, treatment and recovery parameters were found to reduce the reproduction number and infectious burden. Numerical simulations indicated that stronger treatment implementation and reduced transmission opportunities produced substantial reductions in active tuberculosis cases. Conclusion: Treatment was shown to function as both a clinical pathway and an epidemiological control mechanism. The proposed framework may support the design of treatment-centered strategies for reducing tuberculosis prevalence and preventing long-term endemic persistence.

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Climate-Driven Malaria Transmission Dynamics with Human Awareness and Optimal Control: A Deterministic Mathematical Modeling Approach.

NYABWANGA, R. N.; Ketter, L. K.; Osogo, A. N.; Obogi, R. K.; Agasa, L. O.; MONARI, F. N.

2026-07-31 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.07.29.26359260 medRxiv
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Malaria is still one of the most dangerous causes of morbidity and mortality in tropical and subtropical regions even though it has been actively combated for many years. In 2023, there were approximately 263 million malaria cases and 597,000 deaths from this disease on a global scale, with sub-Saharan Africa being the region most affected by it [24]. Climate factors affect mosquito biology, including their abundance, survival, and biting rates, as well as parasite development, while human awareness plays a crucial role in adopting preventive measures and effective treatments. Despite the progress in both climate- and awareness-based malaria modelings, few studies integrate these factors in one comprehensive model that involves the detailed mechanisms of transmission processes. The current study develops a deterministic climate-driven SEAIR-SEI malaria transmission model that includes the impact of temperature, rainfall, and humidity on mosquito biology and endogenous community awareness. The model was proven to be well-posed by showing the positivity and boundedness of its solution and through the demonstration of the existence and uniqueness of its solution. The malaria-free equilibrium was determined, and the basic reproduction number was calculated using the next-generation matrix method. The model underwent local and global stability analyses to characterise the diseases persistence in the population. Additionally, a normalized forward sensitivity analysis was conducted, revealing the mosquito biting rate as the key force driving malaria transmission. Four time-dependent malaria interventions, namely, long-lasting insecticidal nets, community awareness campaigns, indoor residual spraying, and prompt treatment, were included in the model through optimal control theory and analysed using Pontryagins Maximum Principle. The numerical results for the optimal control problem showed that employing all four interventions leads to the best outcome by decreasing the objective functional value by 88.17%, reducing the total number of infected humans by 92.49%, and minimizing the total number of infectious mosquitoes by 93.87%. Interestingly, combining two interventions, indoor residual spraying, and prompt treatment, also yielded nearly optimal results. Therefore, the designed control strategy can serve as an efficient and affordable framework for malaria control in sub-Saharan Africa.

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Mesh convergence depends on the element formulation of finite element brain models

Even, A.; Zhou, Z.; Kleiven, S.

2026-07-31 bioengineering 10.64898/2026.07.30.741810 medRxiv
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Finite element (FE) head models are virtual tools to study brain biomechanics and their predictions must be numerically convergent. Previous convergence studies focused on the influence of mesh size, but the potential effect of element formulation on model convergence was often ignored. To address this, one original model with brain mesh size as 6.4 {+/-} 1.9 mm was modified to generate three derivatives with the same mesh topology but different element sizes, i.e., a coarse model (mesh size: 12.2 {+/-} 3.9 mm), a medium model (mesh size: 3.2 {+/-} 1.0 mm), and a fine model (mesh size: 1.6 {+/-} 0.5 mm). Three commonly used element formulations, i.e., reduced integration, selectively reduced (S/R) integration, and full integration, were implemented to the brain elements. These models were subjected to rotational loadings along the axial, coronal, and sagittal axes, respectively. The maximum relative displacement at representative sites and 95th percentile maximum principal strain at the whole brain level were used to evaluate mesh convergency. The results showed that the S/R integration yielded a 5% difference between the original and medium meshes, while the reduced and full integration revealed a difference over 5% even between the medium and fine meshes. This study verified that the mesh convergence of FE brain models is affected by the choice of element formulation and the S/R integration contributes to the fastest convergence behavior than the reduced and full integrations. It provided practical information on how to develop numerically convergent and computationally efficient FE brain models. HighlightsO_LIThis study verifies that the choice of element formulation affects the mesh convergence behavior of finite element brain models C_LIO_LIThis study finds the selectively reduced integration yields the fastest convergence behavior than the reduced and full integration C_LIO_LIThis study provides practical guidance on the choice of mesh density and element formulation on how to develop numerically convergent and computationally efficient finite element brain models. C_LI

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A mathematical model of the HPA axis demonstrates bifurcations under varying stress and systemic conditions

Violaris, I. G.; Pinotsis, D.; Tsipouras, M.; Kalafatakis, K.

2026-10-11 bioinformatics 10.64898/2026.10.07.757338 medRxiv
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In this study, we develop a mathematical model of the hypothalamic pituitary adrenal (HPA) axis and systematically investigate the model complexity required to reproduce observed hormone dynamics. The model is fitted to ACTH and cortisol measurements from five healthy volunteers reported in the literature. We show that simultaneous reproduction of both hormone profiles requires a delay differential equation model with at least five state variables among the model architectures considered. Following fitting the volunteer data, we investigate the response of the model to sustained stress using bifurcation analysis. The coupled system exhibits bifurcations over a range of stress intensities. This analysis reveals bifurcations whose critical stress thresholds depend strongly on the modulatory state of the system. These results provide a mathematical framework for investigating transitions between physiological and dysregulated HPA axis dynamics, which may be related to states of health and disease.

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Slow relaxation oscillations in multi-scale adaptive next generation neural masses

Martelloni, G.; Angulo Garcia, D.; Innocenti, G.; Torcini, A.; Olmi, S.

2026-07-28 neuroscience 10.64898/2026.07.26.740760 medRxiv
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We have studied the emergence of slow relaxation oscillations in next generation neural mass models with spike frequency adaptation. Relaxation oscillations connect low firing state (Down state) to high firing state (Up state) via the slow adaptation. In the examined cases, the orbit relaxes towards the Up State via a sequence of collective damped oscillations (peaks of activity), thus revealing population bursting dynamics. The slower is the adaptation time scale the higher is the complexity (number of peaks) displayed by the relaxation oscillations. In particular, a chaos-induced spike-adding mechanism regulates the increase in the number of peaks. In analogy to what found in the Hidmarsh-Rose neuron model, two different types of chaotic behaviors have been identified: Population Spiking and Population Bursting Chaos. The increase of the adaptation strength leads to shorter (longer) Up (Down) state durations somehow mimicking the effect of charbachol in in vitro experiments, where spontaneous slow waves are observed. Indeed, the scenario depicted in [1], where an increase of the concentration of carbachol induces a transition from anesthesia-like to sleep-like dynamics is consistent with our results based on the variation of the adaptation strength. HighlightsO_LISpike Frequency Adaptation (SFA) promotes the emergence of Slow Relaxation Oscillations C_LIO_LISpike-adding mechanisms, controlled by SFA, lead to Relaxation Oscillations of increasing complexity C_LIO_LITwo types of chaotic behaviours: Population Spiking and Population Bursting Chaos C_LIO_LISFA regulates Up and Down States durations and their correlation C_LI

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Concurrent model evidence computation and posterior sampling in continuous attractor network subspaces

Ren, Y.; Chen, Z.; Deans, H.; Wu, Y.; Zhang, W.

2026-09-08 neuroscience 10.64898/2026.09.02.748767 medRxiv
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Extensive studies suggest the brain performs Bayesian inference to infer the latent world states. It is a fundamental neuroscience question that how canonical recurrent neural circuits in the brain implement Bayesian inference. Many existing theoretical studies focused on how the recurrent circuits compute the posterior, while largely overlooking how the circuits compute the model evidence (normalization constant in Bayes' theorem), a key quantity that measures how well a model explains the observed data.Thus, it remains largely unknown about how the recurrent circuits compute the model evidence. The present study performs rigorous theoretical analyses of the continuous attractor networks, a canonical recurrent circuit model, and reveals that the nonlinear circuit dynamics can simultaneously compute the posterior and model evidence in first two dominant subspaces within the circuit dynamics. Specifically, the circuit dynamics in the stimulus feature subspace implements the Langevin posterior sampling, and the circuit dynamics in the subspace of total neuronal activity computes the model evidence in a way analogous to the evidence lower bound in stochastic variational inference. We further extend the circuit model to compute the model evidence of multiple inputs, and simulations validate the computation in the network. Our work for the first time reveals the concurrent model evidence and posterior sampling in subspaces in continuous attractor networks, significantly deepen our understanding of the computational algorithms adopted by the neural circuits.

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Epidemiological methods provide target metrics and control parameters for multi-actor violent conflicts

Smah, M. L.; MacKay, N.

2026-08-10 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.08.05.26359787 medRxiv
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Violent conflicts increasingly involve multiple armed actors competing for influence over shared civilian populations, creating complex dynamics that challenge conventional security analysis and policy design. We present a framework that adapts epidemiological methods informed by the conflict landscape in Nigeria to model multi-actor violent conflict as an epidemic process. We derive a basic insecurity reproduction number ($R_0$), identify violence-free and persistent-violence equilibria, and introduce a novel Civilian Harm Index (CHI) to quantify humanitarian impact. Sensitivity analyses identify recruitment, ideological support from civilian populations, and abduction as the key drivers of conflict persistence and civilian harm. The framework reveals several counterintuitive findings. Interventions that most effectively suppress violence transmission are not necessarily those that minimise civilian harm, demonstrating that epidemic control and humanitarian protection may require distinct optimisation criteria. Likewise, interventions effective against one armed actor may be ineffective, or even counterproductive, when applied uniformly across groups. In addition, prisoner exchange and ransom payments increase violence persistence and civilian harm. Although developed as an illustrative rather than predictive framework, our results show that epidemiological methods provide quantitative metrics for evaluating intervention priorities and trade-offs in complex multi-actor conflicts.

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Action Potential Thresholds and Excitability from the Geometry of Membrane Potential

Herrera-Valdez, M. A.

2026-08-26 neuroscience 10.64898/2026.08.21.746364 medRxiv
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A novel mathematical framework to define the threshold of action potentials in excitable cells is presented. Unlike previously applied methods that rely on approximations or bifurcations, the approach focuses on the geometry of membrane potential trajectories. The changes in concavity during the upstroke of an action potential can be directly obtained from a time series of voltages. The concavity criterion is then extended to models based on autonomous dynamical systems where the changes in concavity can be obtained analytically from a curve of inflection points in phase space. The inflection point manifold defines a region required for excitability: all the orbits that cross it contain action potentials, and all the trajectories that contain action potentials are in it. This analytical principle can then be used to define excitability in a dynamical system, and also a measure of excitability that enables quantification and comparisons of excitability across dynamical system. The measure provides a way to compare the excitabilities of systems that model neurons with different electrophysiological phenotypes and consider different stimulus conditions. The traditionally vague physiological concept of electrical excitability is transformed into a rigorous analytical description by considering the time-dependent curvature of the membrane potential. The criterion is robust across smooth, single compartment models of electrical excitability and can be can be extended to single compartment models in higher dimensions, and multicompartment models as well.

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Modelling the Effects of Smoking Behavior on Male-to-Male HPV Transmission and Anal Cancer Progression

Owolabi, R. O.; Martcheva, M.; Ghosh, I.

2026-08-12 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.08.11.26360159 medRxiv
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Human Papillomavirus (HPV) infection among men who have sex with men (MSM) has become a significant public health concern, particularly in countries where male vaccination is unavailable. Given the high susceptibility of MSM to HPV and anal cancer, and the unavailability of HPV vaccination for males in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), there is a need to identify alternative interventions for reducing disease transmission and burden in this population. The novel mathematical model presented in this article couples smoking behavior dynamics with HPV transmission and anal cancer progression among MSM. Smoking reduction is introduced as an intervention to assess its effects on disease transmission and burden. The basic reproduction number (R0) is derived using the next-generation matrix method, and a global sensitivity analysis is performed using partial rank correlation coefficients (PRCC) to identify the influence of model parameters on RR0. Further, the theoretical analysis of the model reveals a backward bifurcation, implying that RR0 < 1 is necessary but not sufficient to eradicate the disease. The study finds that smoking reduction among MSM reduces HPV infection and anal cancer burden relative to baseline projections without intervention. The joint effect of smoking reduction and vaccination shows that the critical vaccination coverage needed to achieve RR0 <1 decreases as the level of smoking reduction increases. A similar outcome is observed for contact reduction. These findings highlight the importance of concurrent interventions, which can significantly curtail the spread of HPV and reduce disease burden in both the high-risk group and the general population.

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Trends, patterns, determinants and socio-economic inequality of high-risk fertility behavior (HRFB) among Bangladeshi women: evidence from Bangladesh Demographic Health Survey

Islam, R. B.; Noor, S. T. A.

2026-08-05 health informatics 10.64898/2026.08.04.26359654 medRxiv
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Background: Globally and in Bangladesh, high-risk fertility behaviour (HRFB) continues to be a significant public health issue, contributing to negative health outcomes for both mothers and children. So, this study aimed to evaluate the trends, prevalence, determinants, and socio-economic inequalities associated with HRFB among presently married women of reproductive age by utilising data from the Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey (BDHS). Methods: We analysed data from 19,060 currently married women aged 15-49 years. HRFB was defined as the presence of any of the following: maternal age (<18 or >34 years), short birth intervals (<24 months), or high birth order ([&ge;]4). Two outcome variables were constructed: a binary indicator for any HRFB (yes/no) and a three-category variable indicating no, single, or multiple HRFBs. Bivariate analysis was conducted to determine the prevalence of HRFB, and multilevel mixed-effect logistic and multinomial regression models were applied to identify determinants, accounting for the complex survey design. Socioeconomic inequalities were examined using concentration indices and concentration curves. Results: Overall, 58% of women experienced at least one HRFB, with 33% exhibiting a single HRFB and 25% multiple HRFBs. Women who married after age 18 years, had higher education, were exposed to media, or had educated husbands were significantly less likely to experience HRFB. Higher odds of HRFB were associated with rural residence, lower household wealth, and regions such as Mymensingh, Barishal, and Chattogram. Significant inequalities were observed, with HRFB disproportionately concentrated among women with lower wealth (CIX = -0.427, p<0.001) and no education (CIX = -0.268, p<0.001). Conclusion: In Bangladesh, HRFB remains prevalent and is unevenly distributed across socio-economic and geographic groups. Targeted interventions aimed at delaying early marriage, improving educational attainment for women and their partners, expanding mass media outreach, and increasing access to reproductive healthcare- especially among disadvantaged and rural populations- are essential for reducing HRFB and improving maternal health outcomes.

11
Modeling one-shot interceptions in fruit-catching fish

Azari-Pour, A.; Mahadevan, L.

2026-09-24 animal behavior and cognition 10.64898/2026.09.17.752477 medRxiv
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Interception of moving objects is a universal pattern of animal behavior with many industrial applications. Inspired by the behavior of the characid fish Brycon guatemalensis, which catches fruits falling onto the surface of a river, we study one-shot (i.e., open-loop) interceptions using both stochastic optimal control theory and reinforcement learning. In the first instance, an agent actuates a control (wait time before launch and heading angle) to meet its target, given a noisy estimate of the target initial state. In a minimal setting, where launch velocity and actuated control are constants, we show that the optimal wait time is attenuated by noise in both the target measurement and control actuation, as well as agent energy conservation. We then derive an upper bound for the heading angle variance which scales as the ratio of the non-vanishing optimal interception error to the initial planar separation. Complementing our control framework, our deep reinforcement learning approach shows that the neural network representing the fish first learns the value function for the interception, then learns how to aim, and finally learns the optimal wait time. Beyond the specific problem at hand, our results may also have applications to problems with little time for feedback or corrections such as perching, landing, and docking.

12
History-dependent SEIR models: equivalent formulations, fractional foundation, and growth and decay principles

Liu, S.; Wu, J.; Lou, Y.; Jia, C.

2026-10-05 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.09.30.26364380 medRxiv
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Non-exponential residence times give rise to history-dependent or memory effects in epidemic dynamics, yet their mathematical formulations remain fragmented. Here we develop a unified framework for a history-dependent SEIR model with general latent- and infectious-period distributions. We first establish the equivalence between the stage-age and renewal formulations and show that both admit a unified transition-flow representation. We then introduce the concept of a transition-flow multiplier, which provides a direct link between residence-time distributions and transition flows. When the multiplier is a weighted sum of shifted power functions, the model admits an exact representation in terms of Riemann-Liouville or tempered Riemann-Liouville fractional operators, providing a first-principles foundation for fractional epidemic models. Finally, using Euler-Lotka equations and stochastic-order arguments, we characterize how the latent- and infectious-period distributions shape epidemic growth and decay. A longer latent period slows both early growth and late decay, while, at fixed means, greater variability in the latent period accelerates early growth but slows late decay, whereas greater variability in the infectious period slows both.

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A Cortico-Cerebellar Network Model for Refining Preparatory Activity in Motor Control through Sensorimotor Learning

Cagdas, S.; Sengör, N. S.

2026-08-18 neuroscience 10.64898/2026.08.10.743900 medRxiv
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This paper introduces a sensorimotor learning framework for a corticocerebellar network, grounded in the perspective of population dynamics. Using an optimal control theory approach, the cerebellum model enhances preparatory activity through premotor input, allowing the motor cortex to reach the desired initial conditions for movement more efficiently. Unlike traditional motor learning approaches that focus on acquiring new skills, this paradigm emphasizes automatization of already executable behaviors through repetition driven by intrinsic motivation. The proposed model is evaluated using a center-out reaching task, demonstrating that the role of the cerebellum is to shorten the preparatory period required for the successful execution of the movement. These findings suggest that corticocerebellar interactions play a crucial role in optimizing motor preparation, offering insight into the neural mechanisms underlying movement efficiency.

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Computational simulation reveals the critical role of spike-timing-dependent plasticity in synchrony

Huang, Y.; Lankarany, M.; D'Eleuterio, G.

2026-09-22 neuroscience 10.64898/2026.08.27.747601 medRxiv
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Emerging research on desynchronization reveals strong relations to memory formation and recollection with much of the evidence originating from studies of the hippocampus, a brain region central to memory processing. However, growing evidence emphasizing the role of desynchronization is accompanied by challenges, most notably the synchronization/desynchronization conundrum. The conundrum arises from an apparent contradiction between learning and Shannon's information theory: spike-timing-dependent plasticity (STDP) acquires information via synchronized populational activity whereas information theory suggests that information channel is encoded through higher variability. Both frameworks are well-founded. Learning is widely accepted as the mathematical abstraction of STDP while Shannon's information theory showcases its power ubiquitously across fields from communication systems to neuroscience. Here, we propose that learning and Shannon's information theory are not necessarily opposing principles. Rather, learning plays a critical role in the process of synchronization and desynchronization. To justify our claim, we conduct computational simulations based on a Hodgkin-Huxley neuronal model coupled with NMDA, AMPA, and GABA synapses with inputs of biologically realistic spiking data. Our results show that enabling STDP significantly influences synchronization and desynchronization dynamics. Specifically, we find that STDP and desynchronization form a regulatory loop, in which STDP regulates the level of synchrony, and synchrony regulates subsequent learning strength. Further study reveals STDP is capable of switching neurons from synchronization to desynchronization. This framework mitigates the synchronization/desynchronization conundrum by clarifying the relationship between desynchronization and learning, and offers a new perspective on how synchrony contributes to memory formation and recollection.

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Propagation electrodynamics and differential conduction of action potentials in geometrically branched squid giant axons

Liu, X.; Fang, W.; Perlin, K.

2026-08-07 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.03.742547 medRxiv
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Classical neuronal cable theory relies on quasi-static electric field approximations and neglects magnetic induction, Lorentz force coupling, and transient electromagnetic currents, limiting its ability to fully characterize action potential propagation within geometrically branched axons and dendrites. This work develops a coupled Maxwell-electromagnetic cable framework by integrating finite-difference time-domain (FDTD) solutions of Maxwells equations with extended Hodgkin-Huxley and Fitzhugh-Nagumo membrane dynamics, incorporating magnetic gating perturbations, electromagnetic trans-membrane currents IEM, and nanoscale quantum corrections for thin neural segments. Controlled propagation experiments are designed to quantify deviations from standard cable predictions across asymmetric and symmetric axonal bifurcation geometries. Numerical results demonstrate that inductive magnetic effects lower the critical branch radius for junction conduction failure and break symmetric action potential invasion in geometrically identical child branches under external transverse magnetic fields. An electromagnetic corrected geometric ratio GREM is proposed to revise impedance-matching conditions at branch points, accounting for size-dependent axial current imbalance induced by magnetic and displacement currents. Parent axon conduction velocity deviates substantially from the canonical [Formula] scaling law when electromagnetic feedback and quantum charge distributions are included, triggering early signal blockage at large cable diameters. Collectively, this study establishes that quasi-static cable models underestimate electromagnetic corrections to propagation speed, waveform shape, and bifurcation transmission fidelity; the coupled Maxwell-cable framework provides a comprehensive multi-physics tool for modeling electrodynamic signal behavior in complex neuronal architectures.

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Impact of Driving Dynamic Fluctuations of 6DOF-SVC Model Predictions Across Five Real-World Driving Studies

Buchheit, B.; Robin, Y.; Schneider, E. N.; Alayan, M.; Strauss, D. J.

2026-09-22 bioengineering 10.64898/2026.09.18.752352 medRxiv
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Despite the use of technological countermeasures, studies show that the sensory conflict, and thus symptoms of motion sickness such as nausea, cannot be completely prevented while traveling as a car passenger. Accordingly, reliable prediction of motion sickness will represent a possible solution for intelligent vehicles to avoid the abortion of the drive, e.g., through adapted driving strategies or route planning. In previous works, the authors were able to demonstrate an application-oriented parameter set for the popular 6DOF-SVC model to estimate motion sickness incidence (MSI) in passengers with a lowered gaze on a non-driving-related task. In the current study, these parameters were validated and further optimized using five previous conducted motion sickness driving experiments. For the first time, it is also shown that the expected natural MSI fluctuations based on the driving dynamic profile, due to route characteristics or driving style, as well as the variation in experimental determined MSI is approximately 10%. Moreover, findings indicate that the participants appear to have an individual MSI threshold that correlates with their susceptibility to motion sickness, however, this threshold fluctuates too strongly across experiments to be suitable for practical application. As a result, the model can successfully estimate motion sickness risk across the test tracks, however, inaccuracies in the predicted MSI trajectories remain.

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Quantitative Model of Transcriptional Noise Regulation by mRNA Condensates

Lanitis, A.; Kolomeisky, A. B.

2026-08-20 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.16.745099 medRxiv
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A fundamental biological process of transcription occurs in the cell nucleus, which is a complex medium that also contains multiple heterogeneous structures known as biomolecular condensates. Interestingly, some of these condensates contain mRNA molecules in addition to proteins, suggesting an important cellular role in transcription that is not yet well understood. In this work, we develop a minimal theoretical framework for quantitative investigation of the role of reversible mRNA condensation in transcription. Our discrete-state stochastic approach accounts for the most relevant processes, allowing us to explicitly evaluate the properties of the system and clarify the effects of condensation. Analytical calculations supported by computer simulations suggest that reversible mRNA condensation influences the transcription processes by maintaining a constant level of free mRNA in the nucleoplasm while lowering the degree of stochastic noise and increasing the robustness against external perturbations. Physicochemical arguments are presented to explain these observations. The proposed theoretical framework elucidates important microscopic aspects of transcription, providing a convenient quantitative tool for investigating complex biological phenomena.

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Robust Cooperative Learning for Multiview Regression via Soft-IPOD

Yoshimura, S.; Hiroyasu, T.; Tanioka, K.

2026-09-30 bioinformatics 10.64898/2026.09.24.754279 medRxiv
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Multiview data analysis has become increasingly important for integrating heterogeneous information from multiple data sources. Cooperative learning provides a flexible framework for multiview integration by bridging early and late fusion strategies. However, its use of squared loss makes it sensitive to outliers. In this study, we propose robust cooperative learning based on the soft-IPOD framework. The proposed method introduces an observation-specific outlier absorption vector into the cooperative learning objective, thereby reducing the influence of outlying observations while preserving information sharing across views. The resulting optimization problem can be formulated as a weighted Lasso-type problem using an augmented design matrix and can be naturally extended to more than two data views. Numerical simulations and a real-data application to labor onset prediction demonstrate the predictive performance of the proposed method in the presence of outliers.

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Quantifying sprint force-velocity elasticity: implications for individualized training decisions

Li, Z.; Yan, J.; Zhang, X.; Chen, Z.; Li, Q.; Jimenez-Reyes, P.; Janicijevic, D.; garcia-ramos, A.

2026-09-01 biophysics 10.64898/2026.08.29.748040 medRxiv
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This study aimed to (1) develop an elasticity framework for the sprint force-velocity (F-V) relationship and (2) examine how maximal force (F_{0}), maximal velocity (v_{0}), and sprint distance modulate the four derived elasticity metrics, and (3) explore these elasticity metrics' interrelation. After modelling the F-V relationship differential equation, four elasticity metrics were defined as force elasticity (F_{e}), the elasticity of sprint time to F_{0}; velocity elasticity (v_{e}), the elasticity of sprint time to v_{0}; the force-velocity elasticity norm {(\mathrm{F}-\mathrm{V}}_{\mathrm{EN}}=\sqrt{F_{e}^{2}+v_{e}^{2}}), capturing the combined sprint time sensitivity to proportional changes in F_{0} and v_{0}; and the force-velocity elasticity ratio {(\mathrm{F}-\mathrm{V}}_{\mathrm{ER}}=F_{e}{\div v}_{e}), indicating which variable dominates the sprint time response. Model simulations showed that F_{e} decreased with rising F_{0} and increased with rising v_{0}, while v_{e} showed the opposite pattern. With increasing sprint distance, F_{e} decreased and v_{e} increased. Given its negligible effect on sprint time, ignoring air resistance yields a conservation law (2F_{e}+v_{e}\equiv 1), indicating that a gain in one elasticity metric necessarily diminishes the other in a fixed proportion. This framework also identifies a valley distance (d_{valley}) at {\mathrm{F}-\mathrm{V}}_{\mathrm{ER}}=2, where {\mathrm{F}-\mathrm{V}}_{\mathrm{EN}} is minimized (\sqrt{0.2}) and sprint time is least responsive to changes in F-V relationship variables. Empirical data confirmed that the two theoretical laws still hold approximately when air resistance is considered. By linking changes in F_{0} and v_{0} to sprint time across different distances, the elasticity framework provides a quantitative basis for estimating the theoretical sprint time response to documented changes in F-V relationship variables.

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A Multi-Domain EEG Framework Integrating Spectral, Functional Connectivity, and Topological Features for Subject-Level ADHD Classification

Rohani, F.; Mostafavi, S.; Ebrahimifakhar, P.; Zomorrodi, R.; Mueller, A.

2026-10-11 health informatics 10.64898/2026.10.08.26365043 medRxiv
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Background: Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) is a common neurodevelopmental disorder characterized by persistent symptoms of inattention, hyperactivity, and impulsivity that significantly affect cognitive, academic, and social functioning. Although electroencephalography (EEG) has emerged as a promising non-invasive tool for identifying objective neurophysiological biomarkers of ADHD because of its high temporal resolution and cost-effectiveness, many existing machine learning studies rely on single-domain EEG features, which may not adequately capture the complex functional organization of the brain. Methods: This study proposes a subject-level EEG classification framework that integrates three complementary feature domains: spectral characteristics, weighted Phase Lag Index (wPLI)-based functional connectivity, and topological descriptors derived from persistent homology. EEG recordings from 121 subjects were preprocessed and segmented into overlapping windows for feature extraction. Window-level features were aggregated to generate subject-level representations. Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) was employed to select the 110 most informative features from an initial set of 1,043 descriptors. Five machine learning classifiers, including Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest, XGBoost, CatBoost, and Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), were evaluated using stratified five-fold cross-validation. An ablation study was further conducted to assess the contribution of each feature domain. Model interpretability was investigated using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME), two widely adopted Explainable Artificial Intelligence techniques for interpreting machine learning models. Results: Among the evaluated classifiers, the SVM achieved the highest classification performance, yielding an accuracy of 80.17%, an F1-score of 80.95%, a balanced accuracy of 80.14%, a receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (ROC-AUC) of 86.72%, and a precision recall area under the curve (PR-AUC) of 87.34%. The ablation study demonstrated that combining spectral, functional connectivity, and topological features consistently outperformed individual feature domains, highlighting the complementary nature of these representations. Explainable AI analyses further identified functional connectivity features as the primary contributors to classification performance while confirming the additional value of spectral and topological descriptors. Conclusions: The proposed framework demonstrates that integrating spectral analysis, functional connectivity, and topological data analysis provides an effective and interpretable approach for subject-level ADHD classification from EEG recordings. The combination of recursive feature selection, multi-domain feature fusion, ablation analysis, and Explainable Artificial Intelligence establishes a transparent and reproducible pipeline that may facilitate the development of reliable EEG-based clinical decision-support systems for ADHD.